India Inc growth slipped to a 9 year low, may go further down

India's growth story is slowly losing its sheen and has hit a three-year low with the GDP growing at just 6.5 per cent in 2011-12, as compared to an impressive 8.4 per cent in the previous fiscal. The GDP growth in the January-March quarter, 2011-12, was just 5.3 per cent compared to 9.2 per cent in the same period in 2010-11.

According to a CNBC-TV18 poll, the Q4 GDP was expected to be flat at around 6.1 per cent on a quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) basis. Fiscal deficit was estimated at 5.9 per cent.

Reflecting slowdown in the economy, the growth rate of eight infrastructure sectors slowed down to 2.2 per cent in April because of poor

performance of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum refinery products and fertilisers. The eight core sectors that also include coal, electricity, cement and finished steel, and have a weightage of 37.9 per cent in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), had grown by 4.2 per cent in April 2011.

The cumulative growth rate of infrastructure industries during 2011-12 also slowed down to 4.4 per cent, from 6.6 per cent in 2010-11, according to the data released by the commerce and industry ministry on Thursday.

Natural gas and crude oil production contracted by 11.3 per cent and 1.3 per cent respectively during April. Petroleum refinery products and fertiliser production shrunk 2.8 per cent and 9.3 per cent respectively during the month.

Coal, Steel and cement output grew by 3.8 per cent, 5.8 per cent and 8.6 per cent in April 2012. In the same month last year, coal output had grown 2.7 per cent, steel - 2.9 per cent and cement - 0.1 per cent. However, electricity generation slowed down by 4.6 per cent, from 6.4 per cent in April 2011.
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