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 Oil Refining & Marketing.pdf
Facebook, the world's largest Internet social network, is preparing for a initial public stock offering next year, according to a source familiar with the matter.

Facebook is exploring raising $10 billion, the Wall Street Journal said on Monday. It hopes the offering will value the company at more than $100 billion, according to WSJ, which first reported the story.

Facebook's Chief Financial Officer, David Ebersman, had discussed a public float with Silicon Valley bankers but founder and Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg had not decided on any terms and his plans could change, the Journal said.

The social network, which now claims more than 800 million members after seven years of explosive growth, has not selected bankers to manage what would be a very closely watched IPO. But it had drafted an internal prospectus and was ready at any moment to pull the IPO trigger, the Journal cited people familiar with the matter as saying.

At $100 billion valuation, the company started by Zuckerberg in a Harvard dorm room would have double the valuation of Hewlett-Packard, the Journal said.

A formal S-1 filing could come before the end of the year, though nothing was decided, the newspaper added.

A Facebook representative declined to comment.

Silicon Valley start-ups have this year begun to test investor appetite for a new wave of dotcoms. If it does debut in 2012, Facebook's IPO would dwarf that of any other dotcom waiting to go public.

"Farmville" creator Zynga has filed for an IPO of up to $1 billion. In November, daily deals service Groupon debuted with much fanfare, only to plunge below its IPO price within weeks.

LinkedIn and Pandora are now also trading significantly below the levels their stocks reached during their public debuts earlier this year.

Facebook has become one of the world's most popular Web destinations, challenging established companies such as Google and Yahoo for consumers' online time and for advertising dollars.

Facebook does not disclose its financial results, but a source familiar with the situation told Reuters earlier this year that the company's revenue in the first six months of 2011 doubled year-on-year to $1.6 billion.

Eric Feng, a former partner at venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers who now runs social-networking site Erly.com, said that the cash Facebook will get in an IPO would allow them to make more acquisitions and refine or work on new projects, such as a rumored-Facebook phone or a netbook.

Having tradable stock will also allow Facebook to attract more engineering talent who might have been more attracted to the company in earlier days when it was growing faster but now perhaps might be attracted to other companies. "It'll be a powerful bullet for them," said Feng.

Investors have been increasingly eager to buy shares of Facebook and other fast-growing but privately-held Internet social networking companies on special, secondary-market exchanges.

Facebook said in January that it will exceed 500 shareholders this year, and that in accordance with SEC regulations, it will file public financial reports no later than April 30, 2012.

 
Europe continues to take the centre stage in terms of determining the outlook for global financial markets and economies – and it is therefore critical to try and keep abreast of the constantly evolving events in the Eurozone and incorporate them into your decision making framework. Germany continues to insist on harsh fiscal austerity in the periphery, without a "lender-of-last-resort" role for the ECB and issuance of jointly guaranteed Eurobonds. The horrors of the Weimar hyperinflation of the early 1920s remain firmly entrenched in the national psyche and influence its deep aversion to "monetary financing" (i.e. monetizing government deficits via the printing press). However, Germany should perhaps be even more concerned about the horrors which could be unleashed by a prolonged and deep recession which was actually the real cause for the rise of Hitler in the 1930s as detailed by Dylan Grice of Societe Generale in a fascinating note. To summarise:

-In the aftermath of the collapse of the gold standard in the early 1930s , most countries selected the easier option of devaluation of currencies to inflate themselves out of a painful recession with the main exception being Germany which chose to cling to the gold standard (and resulting deflation), haunted by the horrors of the 1923 hyperinflation (see attached chart).

-The US clung onto the gold standard longer than countries like the UK and Japan and therefore suffered a deeper depression, while Germany experienced an even more devastating depression than the US as it suffered a comparable loss in industrial output but significantly worse (and more prolonged) unemployment levels (33% at its peak - see attached chart).

-It is generally believed that the rise of the third Reich was caused by the 1923 hyperinflation, and while it is true that Hitler made his first attempt to grab power in 1923 with the "Beerhall Putsch", by the late 20s the Nazis were just another large fringe group.

-The depression in Germany which began in the late 1920s (associated with rising unemployment levels) was tightly correlated with the rising share of the Nazis electoral vote (from less than 5% in the mid 20s to late 20s to 45% by 1933-see attached chart).

-What would the course of history have been if Germany had inflated like the UK, which left the gold standard in 1931 and experienced a significant drop in unemployment and a recovery in output. With unemployment levels of 17% rather than 33% would the Nazis have won the March 1933 elections?

-By insisting on imposing harsh fiscal austerity on the periphery, Germany runs the risk of ever-more misery in the affected countries, and a severe political backlash blaming Germany for their misery. 

-It is time for Germany to make-up its mind –the Euro or its hard money principles. It is likely that Germany will eventually make the decision in favour of the Euro, and allow the ECB to act as a lender of last resort. A continued economic slowdown in Germany would make this choice even more probable.

-This could be implemented by giving the EFSF a banking license, allowing it to borrow from the ECB and act like a euro IMF – bailing out countries in return for certain conditions to be met (e.g. labour market, welfare and tax reforms). There would be no breach of existing treaties. The treaties could also be changed (in due course) allowing countries to opt out of the Euro.

Absolutely fascinating and yet another example of how easily misconceptions get imbedded in the popular psyche and lead to erroneous actions and unnecessary and widespread misery! Anyway, I agree that Germany will eventually have to make a choice between the Euro and allowing the ECB to act as a lender-of-last-resort – the question is when? Germany is adamant in following a step-by-step process of eventually more European political and fiscal integration via change of treaties (which will take several years to effect), coupled with some level of support for government bond markets via limited purchases by the ECB in the secondary markets, and support from a leveraged EFSF (and possibly a Euro Redemption fund as recently suggested by the German Council of Economic Advisers). This approach may well work but would the markets be patient enough and not force Merkel's hand prematurely? Time will tell, but meanwhile expect continued volatility in markets – though not a meltdown or a significant upward trend until this issue is resolved.

On Asian Credit Growth:

The above note also has relevance to Asia, as it drives home the point that eventually (when push comes to shove), governments when faced a choice between growth and inflation will choose growth as the social consequences of no growth are more severe – yes, inflation is not a pleasant experience as you lose the real value of your income – but the alternative of having no income at all is far worse!. The attached graph highlights this choice by depicting credit growth in Asia over the past decade and highlights China's very timely response to the 2008 financial crisis by embarking on an unprecedented credit growth rate of 35% per year! With the global economy in a slowdown mode yet again, expect China (and the rest of Asia) to embark on another credit growth cycle leading to buoyant stock (but perhaps not property which was the main beneficiary of the credit spurge) markets.

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dylan grice on german hyperinflation 11 2011.pdf

 
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 Dividend_Yield_StocksNov2011-Religare.pdf

 
Global - Economy and Market 
Italy's Monti in austerity race as IMF role eyed 

ROME - Prime Minister Mario Monti faces a testing week seeking to shore up Italy's strained public finances, with an IMF mission expected in Rome and market pressure building to a point where outside help may be needed to stem a full-scale debt emergency. 
China factory unrest flares as global economy slows 

DONGGUAN, China - In factory towns across China's export powerhouse in the Pearl River Delta, a vicious cycle of slowing orders from the West and increasing wage pressures has led to a series of major strikes that could reverberate through the economy. 
Europe's banks plan accounting tricks to look stronger 

European banks are planning to change how they calculate risk-weighted assets to make it look like they have improved their financial conditions. Such a change could allow banks to avoid selling assets or new shares to meet new capital requirements. 
China kicks off yuan trading vs Aussie, Canadian dollar 

SHANGHAI - China's yuan started trading against the Australian dollar and Canadian dollar in the country's onshore forex market on Monday, the latest currency pairs to be introduced as part of Beijing's efforts to promote the use of its currency. 

8:33am IST 
China on track to be world's biggest online market by 2015 

China will replace the U.S. as the world's biggest online market by 2015, a Boston Consulting Group report says. China will have more than $314 billion in online sales by that year, the report says. China Daily (Beijing) (23 Nov.)      
Hungary: Moody's downgraded Hungary's government bond rating by one notch to Ba1, below investment grade, and the kept its outlook negative yesterday 

Asian shares jump, euro firms amid Italy aid 

TOKYO - Asian shares jumped and the euro firmed on Monday on hopes Europe will come up with some concrete steps this week toward activating a crucial euro zone bail-out fund and reports that the International Monetary Fund is considering helping Italy. 

MSCI's broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 1.6 percent, after slumping to its lowest level since early October on Friday to mark a fourth consecutive week of declines. 

Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 1.9 percent after hitting its lowest in two and a half years on Friday. 

India - Economy and Market 
RBI: opening up retail to help growth, curb inflation 

CHANDIGARH - India's growth story is still "credible" and the move to open up the economy to global supermarket chains will help growth and control inflation, RBI governor Duvvuri Subbarao said on Friday. 

Rules stipulating that foreign supermarkets will have to source 30 percent of produce from smaller industries cannot be restricted to the Indian market, as this would violate World Trade Organisation guidelines, a senior official said. 

India opens retail sector to foreign investment 

The specific conditions linked to the approval are yet to be announced.However, citing an unnamed government official, Bloomberg has reported that these will 

likely include two conditions: 1) large overseas retailers would be required to invest a minimum of USD100mn million in India; and 2) the stores would be allowed only in cities with at least 1 million inhabitants. The government will apparently also allow 100% foreign ownership of single brand retail operations, up from 51% earlier. 
This is a major and welcome change that could have important implications for inflation going forward. 

We think the liberalization measures could spur investment in food storage and transportation facilities that would reduce wastage and therefore frequent supply shortages that drive food price volatility. It is believed that 

about 40% of India's fruit and vegetables rot before they are sold, for example. This has been a structural driver of food inflation that has partly kept WPI inflation elevated. 

Therefore, if the move successfully results in improved storage facilities, this should provide some relief for the RBI in the future. 

FX reserves at $308.624 bln as on Nov 18 

MUMBAI - India's foreign exchange reserves fell to $308.624 billion on Nov. 18, from $314.339 billion in the previous week, the RBI said in its weekly statistical supplement on Friday. 
Cabinet note on PSU cross-holdings soon 

The finance ministry will move a cabinet proposal to allow government companies to acquire equity in other public sector units. 
Foodgrain productivity up 8% at 1,921 kg/hectare in 2010-11 

Foodgrain productivity rose by 8 per cent to 1,921 kg per hectare in 2010-11 crop year, Parliament was informed today. 
The average growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agriculture and allied sectors suffered a setback due to severe drought in many parts of the country during 2009-10 and drought/deficient rainfall in some states namely Bihar, West Bengal, Jharkhand and East Uttar Pradesh in 2010-11 

However, the GDP growth for agriculture sector touched 6.6 per cent in 2010-11 -- the highest growth rate achieved in last six years -- on account of the corrective actions taken by the government 
Indian shares to open up; retailers, Reliance eyed 

MUMBAI, Nov 28 - Indian shares are expected to start higher on Monday, supported by firmer Asian markets and hopes the government will push more reforms after liberalising foreign investment in the retail sector. 

Technology News – 

Mid-sized IT cos go for buyouts 

Mumbai-based software products and services provider Infrasoft Technologies has mandated three investment banks including Avendus Capital to look for acquisitions in the US in the range on $10-15 million. This comes on the heels of Infrasoft's acquisition of the financial services business of KPIT Cummins in October this year. 

Cloud technology for instance has been a focus of many acquisitions in recent times with companies like Aditi Technologies and Vembu Technologies making acquisitions in the space. 

Internet startup Flipkart and BPOs like EXL and Hinduja Global Solutions (HGS) have also bought companies over the last few months. HGS in August acquired Canada-based customer relationship management company Online Support (OLS) for $78 million. 

Dion Global Solutions, a software solutions provider for financial markets, today said it has acquired UK-based wealth management and stock broking software provider Investmaster Group for an undisclosed amount. 
TK Kurien cleans up Wipro with elbow grease, puts it back on growth path 

Its operational metrics show that vitality is returning, helped in no small part by TK Kurien, the man who took over as chief executive of the Bangalore based company nine months ago. 

Volumes - a measure of the number of hours billed by software engineers - have jumped 6% in the three months to September compared with the well under 2% quarterly growth when Kurien took over. That was marginally behind larger rival TCS (6.3%) and ahead of Infosys (4.6%). 
HTC CFO says plans to launch competitive phones in Feb 

TAIPEI - Taiwanese smartphone company HTC Corp said it has confidence that new products to be launched at the Barcelona Mobile Conference next February would be more competititive and achieve better sales. 
AT&T to offer bigger asset sale to save T-Mobile deal - Bloomberg 

REUTERS - AT&T Inc is considering an offer to divest a significantly larger portion of assets than it had initially expected, in order to salvage its $39 billion deal to buy T-Mobile USA, Bloomberg reported citing a person familiar with the plan.


There are all kinds of debt—as small as personal debt or as large as national debt. There's another type of debt as important as the rest—called Sovereign Debt. CNBC Explains.

What is sovereign debt?

It's debt guaranteed by a particular government, often called external debt.

What happens is this: In order to raise money, a government will issue bonds in a currency that is not the government's—and sells those bonds to foreign investors.

This is what makes the debt external, as purchasers are from outside the country.

The currency chosen for the sovereign debt is usually a strong one, in that its value is higher than other currencies.

Bonds, of course, are instruments of debt to be paid back at a certain time—that can be as long as ten years or as short as one year—with the original investment plus interest. Bonds issued by a government in a foreign currency are called sovereign bonds.

The money collected by the sale of the bonds can be used in any manner the issuing government wants. For instance, the funds can be used to spur job growth with spending on infrastructure projects. A government could also give the money to private companies or banks.

It's important to note, sovereign debt is technically owed by a government and not the citizens of the country issuing the sovereign bonds. It's not thenational debt.

However, in order to pay the sovereign debts, the government has to come up with the money in the foreign currency in which it sold the bonds. To get that money, the country could divert funds from internal spending, increase taxes, and/or induce cutbacks in social programs such as pensions.

What happens if a country defaults on its sovereign debt?Risk that a country may not be able to pay the foreign investors who bought sovereign bonds is an issue — because it has happened. Recent examples are Russia, which defaulted on its sovereign debt in 1998, and Argentina in 2002.This usually happens when a new government takes power and refuses to pay the sovereign debt, or simply when the country does not have the money to pay when the debt is due.In most cases, the only recourse for the lender is to renegotiate the terms of the loan — it cannot seize the government's assets. When a country is unable to pay its sovereign debt, the loans are rescheduled for later payment or restructured at better interest rates for the country owing the debt.Nevertheless, a default would hurt a country's chances of obtaining a loan in the future. Its credit rating would also be hurt, making it more expensive for the country to sell sovereign debt bonds in the future.Also, investors might not want to invest in a country that's not able to pay its sovereign debt, leaving the country with fewer funds for economic growth.Sovereign debt defaults can send stock and bond markets around the world into a frenzy. Confidence in the markets can suffer when a country defaults, depending on the size of the default. Investors don't get their money back or have to take reduced rates on their investments. Often, the countries that own the debt might pledge funds to help the debt-ridden country survive any type of economic collapse.What is the history of sovereign debt defaults?Sovereign debt has been around for a long time and so have defaults.Portugal has defaulted four times on its external debt obligations since the late 1800s. So far, Greece has defaulted five times in the same time span.Spain has defaulted six times, with the last occurrence in the 1870s. We mentioned recent examples of Russia and Argentina above.However, there are a number of countries that have clean records of paying on sovereign debt obligations and have never defaulted. These include the U.S., Canada, Denmark, Belgium, Finland, Malaysia, Mauritius, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Switzerland and England.

© 2011 CNBC.com

Economist Paul Volcker was Chairman of the Federal Reserve under Presidents Reagan and Carter. But his name is becoming more well known for a part of the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. It's called the Volcker rule, and CNBC explains.

What is the Volcker Rule?

The rule restricts U.S. banks, or an institution that owns a bank, from making certain kinds of speculative investments with their own money that could hurt their customers.

That includes any bank or credit union that is federally insured and accepts deposits, as well as traditional banks and investment firms likeGoldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley—which are now bank holding companies.

The rule was proposed by Volcker as part of the the Dodd–Frank reform bill of 2010. Volcker was then the Chairman of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board under President Barack Obama, a post he left in January 2011.

Volcker partly blamed the speculative investing by banks for helping create the financial crisis of 2007-2010. He felt the type of investing the banks were doing resulted in putting customers at great risk for financial losses through the trading.

To be specific, the rule prohibits banks from engaging in short-term trading of any security, derivatives and certain other financial instruments from a bank's own funds. And it prohibits owning, sponsoring, or having certain relationships with a hedge fund or private equity fund.

The rule would require banks to create some sort of internal compliance program for making trades. Banks with major trading operations would have to report to federal agencies.

Banks made huge profits in the years leading up to the financial crisis on the type of trading the Volcker rule would stop—more than $15 billion by some estimates.

President Obama has come out in favor of the rule, as have many consumer groups.

What do critics say about the rule?
Banks say the rule would hurt their profits and cost banks additional money in attempting to comply with all of the rule’s details. Traders say their bonuses would be cut, as they would no longer be able to make commissions on certain trades.

The rule is also subject to many exemptions for trading, which some Volcker Rule supporters say are not stringent enough and banks say are too complex.

Is the Volcker Rule in place?
Not yet. The rule is still being worked on. The Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and Securities Exchange Commission did release a version of the rule on Oct. 11, 2011. It is 298 pages long.

Regulators have given the public until Jan. 13, 2012 to comment on the proposed draft of the rule.

Under the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill—which was signed into law in 2010—the final version of the Volcker rule will go into effect on July 21, 2012.

© 2011 CNBC.com
There aren't many tech fields that move faster than the cell phone world. Not only are the devices themselves designed to be disposable within two years, but the back-end technology powering the networks is constantly being upgraded.

That means the transition to the next generation of wireless communications is already under way. The latest is called 4G — and all of the carriers are peppering their marketing with the phrase. What many are failing to do, though, is explain what's so important about 4G and why consumers should care.

What is 4G — and how is it different from 3G?

4G is the fourth generation of phone data networks. The first generation (1G) made its debut in 1979 in Japan. The analog network, launched by Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, was a breakthrough at the time, but it lacked range and required enormous battery power. (It was also incredibly insecure and allowed just about anyone with a little tech know-how to listen in on calls.)

The new Sprint HTC Evo 4G smartphone is displayed at the International CTIA Wireless 2010 convention at the Las Vegas Convention Center March 24, 2010 in Las Vegas, Nevada. CTIA is the international association for the wireless telecommunications industry.
2G made its debut in 1991 and introduced digital signals to cell phone technology. This added a layer of security to conversations and took up less bandwidth, meaning the batteries (and thus, the phones) could be smaller. During this time text messaging and email delivered to your phone became possible.

3G, the current standard, made its debut in 2001 – but no one really took notice until 2007, when Apple introduced the iPhone. 3G allowed providers to simultaneously provide voice and data services. Also, people could watch video on their phones. But as smart phones gobbled up more bandwidth, the reliability of 3G became spotty.

4G further strengthens cell phone security and dramatically increases bandwidth. That means fewer dropped calls, significantly faster streaming and Web access, and more multimedia functionality.

Is it everywhere?Not yet, but it's expanding at a steady pace. All the major telecommunications companies are building 4G towers as fast as economically feasible. Accounting firm Deloitte says the 4G expansion could create as many as 771,000 jobsbetween 2012 and 2016 – and expects wireless companies to spend up to $53 billion to build out their technology over the next five years.Because of the cost associated with making the switch, though, telecoms are focusing first on large cities.Furthering the expansion of 4G is the entrance of new players in the space. Dish Network has reportedly filed a waiver with the FCC to use parts of the radio spectrum it now owns to launch a 4G network.Is there more than one kind of 4G?Like the beta/VHS battle of the 1970s and 80s, there's a format war going on with 4G. One type of technology, called WiMax, had a head start in the field and was quickly adopted by Sprint and Clearwire. The second technology, called LTE, came later, but earned the backing of AT&T and Verizon Wireless. The size and reach of those companies propelled it to the lead.It's too early to declare LTE the winner in the battle, but if Apple debuts an LTE iPhone, then LTE may reach the tipping point toward victory. Apple, of course, is secretive about upcoming versions of its smartphone, but there have been several media reports about the company's testing such a version, though the release date is unclear.If those prove true, the massive popularity of the product, along with the public's desire to have the latest version could accelerate the move to whichever format Apple decides to support (just as the company's adoption of 3G pushed that technology into the spotlight).Will it cost more?So far, people using 4G networks aren't paying any more than those who use 3G. However, the technology is still early — and those prices can change.Consumers’ primary focus should be the cost of data plans. Most carriers have discontinued the "all you can eat" models (charging a flat fee for unlimited usage), and are moving to metered plans that include overage charges and monthly caps. That's a signal they're becoming more price conscious. And as streaming video becomes more common on 4G networks (via services like Netflix, YouTube and other providers), those plans might change again.Will my cell phone be able to use 4G?If you've bought a smart phone in the last year or so, it's possible it's equipped for 4G service. If your phone is more than two years old, it almost certainly won't be able to take advantage of the faster network.However, most of the newest smart phones include 4G compatibility. The iPhone 4 (and previous generation models) do not support 4G, but as new models are introduced, the iPhone is expected to join the movement to 4G as well.4G isn't just about cell phones, though. Several other devices, such as laptops and tablets, also use it to access the Internet. And as the Internet weaves its way into other devices (such as cars and even appliances), those too will likely rely on 4G for connectivity. However, those Internet appliances aren't expected to see a wide rollout for several years, at which time 4G will be standard.Why should I switch to 4G?Faster Web browsing is nice, but it doesn't necessarily justify buying a new $300 or $400 smart phone. If you don't use your handset for more than calls and occasional texts/pictures, there's no rush to switch.But as online services like cloud computing  and digital distribution become more widespread, the bandwidth 4G promises will be essential. Bigger pipelines also usually mean bigger apps — so the game (or other programs) you download from your provider's app store might be a couple hundred megabytes. With 4G, you won't notice the larger size — but if you're still on 3G, it's going to take what seems like forever to download an app.Since things change so fast, should I just wait for 5G?It's going to be a long, long wait if you do. 4G was ratified in December 2010 by the International Telecommunications Union, an agency of the United Nations that's responsible for information and consumer technologies and establishes worldwide standards. None of the carriers are even talking about 5G yet. And it will likely be several years before they do.

© 2011 CNBC.com
What is Mark to market accounting?

From this video, you’ll understand: The rationale behind mark-to-market accounting How mark-to-market and fair value accounting differ from historical cost
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